Home sales down in May while inventory continues to increase

Home sales down in May while inventory continues to increase

The number of transactions on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro Vancouver(1). This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)(2) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May (3,398).

“The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.”

read more

Inventory at highest level since pandemic summer of 2020

Inventory at highest level since pandemic summer of 2020

Actively listed homes for sale on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver continued climbing in April, up 42 per cent year-over-year, breaching the 12,000 mark, a number not seen in the region since the summer of 2020.

Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,831 in April 2024, a 3.3 per cent increase from the 2,741 sales recorded in April 2023. This was 12.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,223).

“It’s a feat to see inventory finally climb above 12,000. Many were predicting higher inventory levels would materialize quickly when the Bank of Canada began its aggressive rate hikes, but we’re only seeing a steady climb in inventory in the more recent data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “The surprise for many market watchers has been the continued strength of demand along with the fact few homeowners have been forced to sell in the face of the highest borrowing costs experienced in over a decade.”

read more

Canadians are more confident in buying a home, despite the impact of inflation: RBC Poll

Canadians are more confident in buying a home, despite the impact of inflation: RBC Poll
  • More respondents plan to buy in the next two years and believe it’s a good investment
  • 50% are saving less to buy a home due to inflation
  • 57% would need a side hustle or second job to afford a home
  • 58% are worried about covering the costs of home ownership (66% among next-time home buyers)

TORONTO, April 23, 2024 – Despite affordability challenges and inflation continuing to impact how and when Canadians buy a home, confidence in making the move to purchase a home is rising. According to RBC’s 30th annual Home Ownership Poll, conducted among Canadians under the age of 65, 60% believe owning a house or condo is a good investment (up from 53% in 2023) and 29% are looking to buy in the next two years (up from 22% in 2023). Two-thirds (64%) say they have always dreamed of owning a home.

At the same time, the research found that half (50%) of Canadians say inflation is eroding their ability to save for a home. This challenge is acutely felt among those planning to purchase a home within the next two years. Among these potential buyers, there has been a 37% decrease in the total amount they have saved to put towards buying a home. Among those who have saved some amount, 36% say they aren’t putting aside money every month for a home purchase (up from 8% in 2023). Even with this setback, 41% of overall potential home buyers say it will take them four years or less to save enough for a down payment.

read more

BC aims to protect strata owners with new regulations that close loopholes

BC aims to protect strata owners with new regulations that close loopholes

BC strata owners will soon no longer be surprised by long-term repair and replacement costs as the province closes loopholes.

In a statement from the Ministry of Housing Monday, it said loopholes that allowed strata corporations to indefinitely defer depreciation reports will close. This means strata owners will have more “certainty and consistency” around common property repair and maintenance when the regulations take effect on July 1, 2024, the province said.

“No one wants to be surprised by a sudden special levy to cover repairs that should have been planned for,” Ravi Kahlon, Minister of Housing, said in a statement. “These regulations will help protect strata owners by ensuring depreciation reports are obtained regularly, providing them with the information and predictability they need to plan for future costs.”

read more

Increased seller activity is giving buyers more choice this spring

Increased seller activity is giving buyers more choice this spring

Wednesday, April 3, 2024

The number of Metro Vancouver1 homes listed for sale on the MLS® rose nearly 23 per cent year-over-year, providing more opportunity for buyers looking for a home this spring.

Sales
The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales3 in the region totalled 2,415 in March 2024, a 4.7 per cent decrease from the 2,535 sales recorded in March 2023. This was 31.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,512).

“If you’re finding the weather a little chillier than last spring, you may find some comfort in knowing that the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last spring either, particularly if you’re a buyer. Despite the welcome increase in inventory, the overall market balance continues inching deeper into sellers’ market territory, which suggests demand remains strong for well-priced and well-located properties.”

read more

Home sellers awaken this spring, bringing much-needed inventory to the housing market

Home sellers awaken this spring, bringing much-needed inventory to the housing market

While Metro Vancouver home sellers appeared somewhat hesitant in January, new listings rose 31 per cent year-over-year in February, bringing a significant number of newly listed properties to the market.

Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,070 in February 2024, a 13.5 per cent increase from the 1,824 sales recorded in February 2023. This was 23.3 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (2,699).

“While the pace of home sales started the year off briskly, the pace of newly listed properties in January was slower by comparison. A continuation of this pattern in February would have been concerning, as it could quickly tilt the market towards overheated conditions,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “With new listings up about 31 per cent year-over-year in February, this will relieve some of the pressure that was building in January and offer buyers more choice as we enter the spring and summer markets.”

read more

Home Sales Across Metro Vancouver’s Housing Market Off To Strong Start In 2024

Home Sales Across Metro Vancouver’s Housing Market Off To Strong Start In 2024

While the Metro Vancouver market ended 2023 in balanced market territory, conditions in January began shifting back in favour of sellers as the pace of newly listed properties did not keep up with the jump in home sales.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 1,427 in January 2024, a 38.5 per cent increase from the 1,030 sales recorded in January 2023. This was 20.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (1,788).
read more

Government Extends Ban On Foreign Buying of Canadian Housing

Government Extends Ban On Foreign Buying of Canadian Housing

Christian Paas-Lang · CBC News · Posted: Feb 04, 2024 8:22 AM PST | Last Updated: February 4

The government is extending an existing ban on foreign home purchasing in Canada, with the measure now set to expire at the beginning of 2027. (Laura Meader/CBC)

The federal government is extending its ban on foreign home purchasing in Canada, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced in a release Sunday.

The rule, which was first announced in 2022, will now be extended until the beginning of 2027. It bans foreign nationals and commercial enterprises from buying residential property in Canada, with exceptions for some international students, refugee claimants and temporary workers.

read more

Interest Rates are Expected to Decrease This Year: Here’s How That’ll Impact Housing

Interest Rates are Expected to Decrease This Year: Here’s How That’ll Impact Housing

The first policy interest rate cut for Canada this year could come as soon as this spring, according to Marc Ercolao and TD Economics.

After a year where interest rates skyrocketed at a pace not seen in decades, economists have said that the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) focus is now moving toward rate cuts, which has implications for the country’s housing market.

In an analysis note, Ercolao, an economist at TD Bank, wrote that preliminary housing market data for December pointed to strong sales activity and declining listings as well as tightening conditions in major markets.

“The greater-than-expected drop in yields, and subsequently mortgage rates, in the fourth quarter partially explains this uptick in activity,” he wrote.

“The BoC will be watching the housing market as seasonally strong spring homebuying will fall directly in line with the expected timing of interest rate easing.”

read more

Despite 6-month slump to close year, Tri-Cities housing prices had significant increases in 2023

Despite 6-month slump to close year, Tri-Cities housing prices had significant increases in 2023

BY PATRICK PENNER, LOCAL JOURNALISM INITIATIVE REPORTER ● COQUITLAMHOUSINGPORT COQUITLAMPORT MOODY ● JANUARY 8, 2024

Housing cost increases in the Tri-Cities were significant in 2023 despite a slump over the last six months.

It now costs more than $2 million to purchase an average single-family home in Port Moody, nearly $1.8 million in Coquitlam, and $1.4 million in Port Coquitlam, the price increasing over 7 percent through the calendar year.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) released their year-end statistics last week, describing “balanced market conditions” regionally as the 2023 came to a close.

Despite sales and new listings being well below their 10-year averages, the board said the real story was “surprising resilience in the face of the highest borrowing costs seen in over a decade.”

Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director of economics and data analytics, said the five-percent plus gains in home prices across all housing types in Metro Vancouver shows the region remains attractive for buyers.

“You could miss it by just looking at the year-end totals, but 2023 was a strong year for the Metro Vancouver housing market considering that mortgage rates were the highest they’ve been in over a decade,” Lis said. “Elevated borrowing costs alone aren’t enough to dissuade buyers determined to get into this market.”

Prices in the Tri-Cities saw a meteoric rise in the first half of the year, surpassing the highs seen during the COVID-19 pandemic, and recovering from the shocks felt immediately after the Bank of Canada began increasing interest rates.

For the year-end total: the largest price increases occurred for Port Moody apartments at 8.1 percent, now averaging for $735,000; while single-family homes were the biggest winners among property types, with the median price increase being 7.3 percent across the Tri-Cities.

But benchmark prices for most property types in the region, including the Tri-Cities, have taken a break from growth over the last six months.

In the Tri-Cities, townhome prices have been hit that hardest over the past six months. Townhome prices are down 4.6 percent in Coquitlam, down 5.1 percent in Port Coquitlam, and 2.5 percent in Port Moody.

Similarly, apartment prices are down in Coquitlam and Port Coquitlam, 3.5 and 3.1 percent, respectively, while Port Moody apartments prices have seen a slight bump of 0.9 percent.

Single-family home prices have been the most stable over the six-month slump, with Port Moody showing gains of 2.7 percent, Coquitlam down half a point, and Port Coquitlam down 2.9 percent.

Sales and new listing in Metro Vancouver are down significantly for the year, however.

Regional sales totalled just over 26,000 in 2023: 23.4 percent below the 10-year average, a 10.3 percent decrease from total 2022 sales, and a 41.5 percent decrease from 2021 sales.

The number of new listings regionally totalled nearly 51,000 in 2023: down 10.5 percent in 2023 compared to the 10-year average, a 7.5 percent decrease from 2022, and a 20 percent decrease from 2021.

In the Tri-Cities, both the total real estate sales (3,690) and number of new listings (6,319) in 2023 fell by 9 percent compared to the previous year.

Lis said the market story of 2023 is too few homes relative to qualified buyers. He said that sellers were cautious at the start of the year leading to a slow sales start, which in turn led to near-record low inventory by spring, causing prices to spike.

“Looking back on the year, it’s hard not to wonder how we’d be closing out 2023 if mortgage rates had been a few percent lower than they were,” he said. “And it looks like we might get some insight into that question in 2024, as bond markets and professional forecasters are projecting lower borrowing costs are likely to come, with modest rate cuts expected in the first half of the New Year.”

There are nearly 9,000 active listings with REBGV, a 13 percent increase compared to last year, and slightly above the 10-year average.

  • Credit: Patrick Penner, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter Tri-Cities Dispatch